mikhailosherov (mikhailosherov) wrote,

Банк Израиля: новые бюджетные сокращения

Банк Израиля: новые бюджетные сокращения


Банк Израиля опубликовал прогноз, согласно которому до 2016 года ожидаются новые бюджетные сокращения общим объемом до 21,5 млрд шекелей. Специалисты Центробанка считают, что в ближайшие два года правительству придется произвести массивные бюджетные сокращения как минимум на 14,5 млрд шекелей (5,5 млрд в 2015-м и 9 млрд в 2016-м).



In the medium term, given the expected growth rate for coming years, if the government will bring its commitments in line with the expenditure framework, the government deficit is projected to increase gradually to 3.5 percent of GDP by 2018, and then to decline slightly (Figure 1). Consequently, the ratio of gross debt to GDP is expected to increase to slightly above 70 percent (Figure 2). Furthermore, if the government does not adjust its commitments to the current permitted expenditure framework, the deficit is forecast to reach 3.9 percent in 2018 and the debt to GDP ratio is expected to increase to 73.5 percent in 2020.

In order to meet the reduced deficit targets which the government has set for coming years (2.5 percent of GDP in 2015 and 2.0 percent of GDP in 2016), given the expected rate of growth for coming years, the government will need to make an additional adjustment, on the expenditure side and/or the revenue side, of a combined NIS 14.5 billion in 2015–16 (NIS 5.5 billion in 2015 and NIS 9 billion in 2016). To the extent that these adjustments are made, they will allow a continued decline in the debt to GDP ratio in coming years.
Tags: Израиль, банки, бюджет, дефицит, общество, правительство, социальное, финансы

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