October 10th, 2015

Михаил Ошеров

Kingdom of Jordan - reliable rear militants or their new victim? Mikhail Osherov


Kingdom of Jordan - reliable rear militants or their new victim?
Mikhail Osherov


Kingdom of Jordan - reliable rear militants or their new victim?  Mikhail Osherov


Due to changes in the general political and military situation in Syria, this change must inevitably affect neighboring Syria countries, involved in the conflict.

Kingdom of Jordan around 2012 sided Syrian thugs and murderers, who called themselves the "Syrian opposition". They only oppose the legitimate Syrian government not in parliament, where they have no representation because they do not receive any mandate from the Syrian people, and oppose them with arms, acting terrorist methods against the Syrian people and the Syrian authorities.

King of Jordan in recent years has given the territory of the country as a base for US troops to host their air defense systems. Jordan has arranged US training base for training new fighters, supply depots. Jordan's economy and finances that are in poor condition, has received loans from Saudi Arabia.
Now all these hostile actions of neighboring Syria turn against itself Jordan. In recent years, it has penetrated into the territory of 1.4 million Syrian refugees. Saudi Arabia, because it deliberately reduced the price of oil, running out of money corny.

"Saudi Arabia's budget deficit could reach 20% of GDP. The country is the first time in the last eight years has started to borrow money on the financial markets "

http://russmir.info/pol/6685-saudovskaya-araviya-uzhe-v-krizise.html

"This week, Saudi Arabia placed government bonds of 20 billion reais ($ 5.3 billion). This is the second loan for this summer - the size of June amounted to 15 billion reais ($ 4 billion). The Kingdom could raise $ 27 billion by the end of this year. The money the Saudis needed because of the double fall in oil prices, export earnings which are formed almost the entire income of the country. In 2015, the budget was built on the basis of the price of oil at $ 105 a barrel. Recall that the Saudi oil export revenues represent more than 90% of government revenue . "

http://russmir.info/pol/6685-saudovskaya-araviya-uzhe-v-krizise.html

---

"Another proof of how difficult to Saudi Arabia it is now necessary began to report large seizures of funds from foreign investment funds. For over a year, had passed from the beginning of the fall in oil prices, tens of billions of dollars were returned to their homeland."

http://expert.ru/2015/09/29/novaya-realnost/

Most likely in the near future, Jordan can not get new money from Saudi Arabia. In addition, may arise the question about the return of Jordan loans taken by it previously in Saudi Arabia.

And the most importantly - Jordan will soon have something to do with their former allies. On the Syrian territory close to the border with Jordan are based two militant groups - one - in the Syrian province of Quneitra, which supports Israel, periodically carrying out the Syrian army shelling of positions in the area, as well as militant groups operating in the south-east of Damascus. After the destruction of ISIS and "Dzhebhat-An-Nusra" the time will come, and the two groups, which are either destroyed or driven out into the territory Kingdom of Jordan. The number of Syrian thugs who call themselves "Syrian opposition" is a few tens of thousands. When they get up in arms into Jordan, the Jordanian authorities will have any further problems.

In the same Saudi Arabia, the most restless. Saudi Arabia, whose army has no experience of war, got involved in the aggression against the sovereign of Yemen. As a result of the war has come to the territory of Saudi Arabia itself. Among the many Saudi princes grown discontent current king. King of Jordan - a direct descendant of the Caliph, and, in fact, has more rights to the Saudi throne, than the current Saudi royal family. It is possible that King of Jordan Abdullah II could in this situation to take a chance to get well, and the Saudi throne and unite the two kingdoms.

Same Jordan's King Abdullah II in the new changed circumstances carries the most dangerous policy - he did not change. Speaking recently on the podium of the 70th UN General Assembly, he reiterated that it will continue its policy - to support "the Syrian opposition" and "fight against terrorism". Given the fact that the "Syrian opposition" - such as terrorists (only recently their whole freshly trained Americans connection to the weapons in their hands turned into ISIS), abstracts of the King of Jordan are highly controversial. Jordan is absolutely unprepared for future challenges - a lack of money, for one and a half million refugees, including armed, on its territory, to the continuation of the conflict with Syria, to the possible political confrontation with Saudi Arabia. Jordan runs the risk of being left alone, isolated in the face of future challenges, and the blame for this will lie in person at Jordan's King Abdullah II and his old short-sighted policy.

Mikhail Osherov


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Михаил Ошеров

У США больше не будет авианосцев в Персидском заливе.

У США больше не будет авианосцев в Персидском заливе.



"Этой осенью ВМС США впервые с 2007 года не будет иметь развернутого в Персидском заливе авианосца. Об этом сенаторам сообщил адмирал Джон Ричардсон, предлагаемый президентом на должность Главкома ВМС США.

CVN-71 "Theodore Roosevelt" покинет район с которого он наносит удары по боевикам Халифата этой осенью. За этим последует ориентировочно двухмесячный перерыв в течении которого коалиция может надеяться только на возможное возвращение в Залив французского авианосца "Charles de Gaulle".

Данные вынужденные меры обусловлены нехваткой готовых к развертыванию кораблей и "усталостью" надводного (и в частности авианосного) флота, вынужденного ввиду сокращения численного состава значительно продлевать сроки боевых походов

Впрочем в течении ближайших 5 лет обещают увеличить количество развернутых кораблей сразу на 20%, впрочем неясна цена этого, в первую очередь в плане изнашивания"


Фокс Ньюс -

30.07.2015

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/07/30/navy-admiral-confirms-us-pulling-aircraft-carrier-from-persian-gulf-this-fall/

Сейчас США дополняют группировку эсминцами + новый итальянский авианосец "Кавур"(официально руководит ловлей арабов в водах средиземного моря).


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Твиттер
Михаил Ошеров

Kingdom of Jordan - safe rear of the militants or their new victim? Mikhail Osherov

Kingdom of Jordan - safe rear of the militants or their new victim?
Mikhail Osherov


Kingdom of Jordan - reliable rear militants or their new victim?  Mikhail Osherov


Due to general political and military situation in Syria changes may inevitably affect Syria's neighboring countries, involved in the conflict.

Kingdom of Jordan since 2012 sided Syrian thugs and murderers, who called themselves the "Syrian opposition". They oppose the legitimate Syrian government not in parliament, where they have no representation because they did not receive any mandates from the Syrian people, but with arms, using terrorist methods against the Syrian people and the Syrian authorities.

King of Jordan in recent years leased the territory of his country for establishing bases of US troops in order to host air defense systems. In Jordan American bases for training new fighters and supply depots are situated. Jordan, whose economy and finances are in a poor condition, has received loans from Saudi Arabia.

Now all these hostile actions of Syrian neighbors turn against Jordan itself. During the recent years 1.4 million of Syrian refugees settled on its territory. Saudi Arabia, which had deliberately reduced the price of oil, is running out of money.

"Saudi Arabia's budget deficit can reach 20% of GDP. First time during the last eight years this country started to borrow money in the financial markets".

http://russmir.info/pol/6685-saudovskaya-araviya-uzhe-v-krizise.html

"This week, Saudi Arabia issued government bonds of 20 billion reals ($ 5.3 billion). This is the second loan for this summer - in June it amounted to 15 billion reals ($ 4 billion). The Kingdom can raise $ 27 billion by the end of this year. Saudis needed the money because of the double fall of oil prices. Oil export earnings form almost the entire income of the country. In 2015 its budget was drawn up on the basis of oil price which was $ 105 for a barrel. We recall that the Saudi oil export revenues represent more than 90% of government revenue."

http://russmir.info/pol/6685-saudovskaya-araviya-uzhe-v-krizise.html

---

"Another proof of the difficult situation of Saudi Arabia is multiple reports about huge withdrawals of its money from foreign investment funds. For a bit more than a year which had passed from the beginning of the oil prices drop, tens of billions of dollars were returned to their homeland."

http://expert.ru/2015/09/29/novaya-realnost/

It seems that in the near future Jordan will not be able to get new money from Saudi Arabia. In addition, Saudi Arabia may require repayment of previous Jordan loans.

And the most important thing - Jordan will soon have to do something with its former allies. On the Syrian territory close to the border with Jordan two militant groups are based. One is in the Syrian province of Quneitra, which is supported also by Israel. It shells positions of the Syrian army in the area time to time. The second group is operating to the south-east of Damascus. After destruction of ISIL and "Jabhat al-Nusra" their time will come, and these two groups will be destroyed or driven out into the territory of Jordan. The number of Syrian thugs who call themselves "Syrian opposition" is tens of thousands men. When they will find themselves in Jordan with weapon in their arms, the Jordanian authorities will have further problems.

In Saudi Arabia there is unrest also. Saudi Arabia, whose army has no experience of waging wars, is involved in aggression against the sovereign Yemen. As a result the war came to the territory of Saudi Arabia itself. Among the big number of Saudi crown princes many are unhappy with the current king. King of Jordan is a direct descendant of the Caliph, and, in fact, has more rights to the Saudi throne than the Saudi royal family. It is possible that Abdullah II may take a risk, get the Saudi throne and unite the two kingdoms.

Jordan's King Abdullah II in this new situation carries out the most dangerous policy, he does not change it. Speaking recently on the podium of the 70th UN General Assembly, he reiterated that he will continue his policy of supporting "the Syrian opposition" and "fighting against terrorism". If we take into account the fact that the "Syrian oppositioners" are also terrorists (only recently their whole freshly trained by Americans unit with weapons in hands defected to ISIL), abstracts of the King of Jordan are highly controversial. Jordan is absolutely unprepared for future challenges - lack of money, one and a half million refugees, including armed ones, on its territory, continuation of the conflict with Syria, possible political confrontation with Saudi Arabia. Jordan may be left alone, isolated, and face these future challenges. We may blame for all this Abdullah II, the King of Jordan, personally and his old short-sighted policy.

Mikhail Osherov


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