mikhailosherov (mikhailosherov) wrote,

Kingdom of Jordan - safe rear of the militants or their new victim? Mikhail Osherov

Kingdom of Jordan - safe rear of the militants or their new victim?
Mikhail Osherov

Kingdom of Jordan - reliable rear militants or their new victim?  Mikhail Osherov

Due to general political and military situation in Syria changes may inevitably affect Syria's neighboring countries, involved in the conflict.

Kingdom of Jordan since 2012 sided Syrian thugs and murderers, who called themselves the "Syrian opposition". They oppose the legitimate Syrian government not in parliament, where they have no representation because they did not receive any mandates from the Syrian people, but with arms, using terrorist methods against the Syrian people and the Syrian authorities.

King of Jordan in recent years leased the territory of his country for establishing bases of US troops in order to host air defense systems. In Jordan American bases for training new fighters and supply depots are situated. Jordan, whose economy and finances are in a poor condition, has received loans from Saudi Arabia.

Now all these hostile actions of Syrian neighbors turn against Jordan itself. During the recent years 1.4 million of Syrian refugees settled on its territory. Saudi Arabia, which had deliberately reduced the price of oil, is running out of money.

"Saudi Arabia's budget deficit can reach 20% of GDP. First time during the last eight years this country started to borrow money in the financial markets".


"This week, Saudi Arabia issued government bonds of 20 billion reals ($ 5.3 billion). This is the second loan for this summer - in June it amounted to 15 billion reals ($ 4 billion). The Kingdom can raise $ 27 billion by the end of this year. Saudis needed the money because of the double fall of oil prices. Oil export earnings form almost the entire income of the country. In 2015 its budget was drawn up on the basis of oil price which was $ 105 for a barrel. We recall that the Saudi oil export revenues represent more than 90% of government revenue."



"Another proof of the difficult situation of Saudi Arabia is multiple reports about huge withdrawals of its money from foreign investment funds. For a bit more than a year which had passed from the beginning of the oil prices drop, tens of billions of dollars were returned to their homeland."


It seems that in the near future Jordan will not be able to get new money from Saudi Arabia. In addition, Saudi Arabia may require repayment of previous Jordan loans.

And the most important thing - Jordan will soon have to do something with its former allies. On the Syrian territory close to the border with Jordan two militant groups are based. One is in the Syrian province of Quneitra, which is supported also by Israel. It shells positions of the Syrian army in the area time to time. The second group is operating to the south-east of Damascus. After destruction of ISIL and "Jabhat al-Nusra" their time will come, and these two groups will be destroyed or driven out into the territory of Jordan. The number of Syrian thugs who call themselves "Syrian opposition" is tens of thousands men. When they will find themselves in Jordan with weapon in their arms, the Jordanian authorities will have further problems.

In Saudi Arabia there is unrest also. Saudi Arabia, whose army has no experience of waging wars, is involved in aggression against the sovereign Yemen. As a result the war came to the territory of Saudi Arabia itself. Among the big number of Saudi crown princes many are unhappy with the current king. King of Jordan is a direct descendant of the Caliph, and, in fact, has more rights to the Saudi throne than the Saudi royal family. It is possible that Abdullah II may take a risk, get the Saudi throne and unite the two kingdoms.

Jordan's King Abdullah II in this new situation carries out the most dangerous policy, he does not change it. Speaking recently on the podium of the 70th UN General Assembly, he reiterated that he will continue his policy of supporting "the Syrian opposition" and "fighting against terrorism". If we take into account the fact that the "Syrian oppositioners" are also terrorists (only recently their whole freshly trained by Americans unit with weapons in hands defected to ISIL), abstracts of the King of Jordan are highly controversial. Jordan is absolutely unprepared for future challenges - lack of money, one and a half million refugees, including armed ones, on its territory, continuation of the conflict with Syria, possible political confrontation with Saudi Arabia. Jordan may be left alone, isolated, and face these future challenges. We may blame for all this Abdullah II, the King of Jordan, personally and his old short-sighted policy.

Mikhail Osherov

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Tags: Ближний Восток, Иордания, Россия, Саудовская Аравия, Сирия, война, гражданская война, терроризм

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